Predictive Power in Behavioral Welfare Economics


When choices are inconsistent due to behavioral biases, there is a theoretical debate about whether the structure of a model is necessary for providing precise welfare guidance based on those choices. To address this question empirically, we use standard data sets from the lab and field to evaluate the predictive power of two ‘model-free’ approaches to behavioral welfare analysis. We find they typically have high predictive power, which means there is little ambiguity about what should be selected from each choice set. We also identify properties of revealed preferences that help to explain the predictive power of these approaches.

Journal of the European Economic Association
Elias Bouacida
Elias Bouacida
Maître de conférence (Assistant Professor)

My research interest include decision theory, behavioral and experimental economics.